Why Wall Street thinks Brian Niccol is the person to revive Starbucks — and end the Howard Schultz era

Wall Street’s Hope: Brian Niccol to Revitalize Starbucks

In a bold move, Starbucks has appointed Brian Niccol as its new CEO and Chair, replacing Laxman Narasimhan after only nine months in the role. Narasimhan had been handpicked by Howard Schultz, Starbucks’ long-time CEO, as part of Schultz’s third stint leading the company.

Niccol brings a wealth of experience from the restaurant industry, having successfully led Chipotle Mexican Grill. Analysts and investors alike are optimistic about his ability to revitalize Starbucks, which has faced declining sales in recent quarters.

Analysts’ Enthusiasm

Analysts have heaped praise on Niccol’s appointment, emphasizing his proven track record in the industry. Andrew Charles of TD Cowen believes Niccol’s combined role as CEO and Chair signifies a new era for Starbucks.

Piper Sandler, TD Cowen, and Baird have upgraded Starbucks’ stock following the news. Oppenheimer analyst Brian Bittner described Niccol as the perfect choice to address Starbucks’ operational challenges and competitive positioning.

The Schultz Legacy

Niccol’s appointment could mark the end of Schultz’s significant influence over Starbucks. Schultz, who transformed the company into a global coffee giant, has repeatedly returned as CEO during periods of sluggish sales.

Analysts believe that Niccol’s authority as CEO and Chair will empower him to make significant changes within the company, potentially diminishing Schultz’s influence.

Challenges Ahead

Despite the optimism, some analysts have expressed caution, noting the complexity of Starbucks’ business model compared to Chipotle. Starbucks has a larger global footprint, including a significant presence in China, which has been facing economic challenges.

Additionally, the current economic climate has dampened consumer demand for coffee, posing a potential hurdle for Niccol. Wedbush analyst Nick Setyan urges caution, emphasizing the importance of connecting with a broader customer base in these uncertain times.

Niccol’s Experience

Niccol’s previous experience includes taking over Chipotle from its founder, Steve Ells. He successfully moved the company’s headquarters and expanded its international presence. Analysts believe he may implement similar changes at Starbucks.

Niccol also has experience with spinoffs, having overseen the separation of Taco Bell’s China business from Yum Brands. This experience could prove valuable if Starbucks explores strategic partnerships for its China operations.

Conclusion

Brian Niccol’s appointment as CEO and Chair has sent a wave of optimism through Wall Street. Analysts believe he has the experience and leadership qualities to turn around Starbucks’ fortunes and move the company beyond the Schultz era.

However, challenges remain, including the complex nature of Starbucks’ business, the uncertain economic climate, and the need to connect with a broader customer base. Niccol’s success will depend on his ability to navigate these obstacles and deliver the revitalization that Starbucks eagerly awaits.